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Communiqué, issue 2, 2004

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The slowdown in average collectively agreed nominal pay increases shows that most EU Member States continue to respect the EU’s broad economic guidelines on pay.

The annual update from the European Industrial Relations Observatory (EIRO), which examines wage developments in the current EU Member States, the acceding countries and Norway, reveals a trend towards moderation. It shows that the average collectively agreed nominal wage increases across the EU and Norway were 3.5% in 2002, compared to 3.1% in 2003. Taking account of lower inflation, average real income rose by 0.2% from 2002 to 2003.

In the 10 acceding countries, however, the average nominal pay increases rose to 8.7% in 2003, up from 8.1% in 2002, while on average real pay increased by 3.9% in 2003, compared to 2.8% in 2002.

Adding productivity into the equation

Some trade unions take the total of the increase in inflation and productivity – the distributive margin – as the target for pay rises and other negotiated improvements in collective bargaining. Comparative data available for 24 countries over the past two-year period, although blurred by methodological and statistical difficulties, show that bargaining outcomes in Belgium, Bulgaria, Estonia, Hungary, the Netherlands, Norway and Romania exceeded the distributive margin. The biggest shortfalls were noted in Greece, Ireland, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia over the same period.

‘The EU’s broad economic guidelines on pay, which suggest that increases in nominal wages should be consistent with price stability and that increases in real wages should not exceed growth in labour productivity, were observed in most EU Member States,’ says Willy Buschak, the Foundation’s Acting Director, in response to the findings. ‘The results of the comparative survey suggest a definite trend towards wage moderation across Europe.’

Collective bargaining coverage

While more than two-thirds of workers in the EU Member States have their pay and working conditions set by collective agreements, bargaining coverage in the acceding countries is generally lower, averaging about four out of every 10 workers. In the enlarged Europe of 25 countries, approximately two-thirds of the workforce will be covered by collective bargaining.

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