Survey indicates smaller apprenticeship shortfall
According to the findings of a survey by the Cologne Institute for Business Research, published in June 2003, Germany's shortfall in vocational training places is likely to be 20,000-30,000 places in autumn 2003, much lower than the 70,000 earlier predicted by the Federal Labour Office. Despite this improved forecast, the survey identifies a number of employer concerns about the vocational training system.
On 24 June 2003, the Cologne Institute for Business Research (Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln, IW) published the results of a survey of 900 firms with a total of 1.6 million employees, conducted in May 2003. The survey examined the vocational training situation in Germany. Whereas the Federal Labour Office (Bundesanstalt für Arbeit, BA) recently estimated that there would be a severe shortage of approximately 70,000 vocational training places in Germany in autumn 2003 (DE0305103F), the IW results are more optimistic. According to the IW survey 'only' about 20,000 to 30,000 people are unlikely to find an apprenticeship place before new courses begin in the autumn
Nonetheless, the IW study confirms that the number of vocational training places in 2003 will be about 4% below the 2002 level. Despite this fall in the number of vocational training places, the actual gap between supply and demand will, according to the IW, be lower than the Federal Labour Office’s estimate. In particular, many enterprises with fewer than 50 employees plan either to maintain or to increase the number of training places they offer in 2003 compared with 2002. Larger firms will, however, on average decrease the number of training places they offer in 2003 compared with 2002 - see table 1 below.
. | % of firms planning to: | ||
. | increase number of apprenticeships | maintain number of apprenticeships | decrease number of apprenticeships |
All firms with vocational training | 27.8 | 30.3 | 41.9 |
Manufacturing | 29.8 | 31.2 | 39.0 |
Trade and services | 25.4 | 29.3 | 45.4 |
Firms with: | . | ||
1-49 employees | 31.9 | 37.1 | 31.0 |
50-499 employees | 28.9 | 33.9 | 37.2 |
More than 500 employees | 23.3 | 21.1 | 55.6 |
Source: IW survey of 900 enterprises, 2003.
More than 90% of firms surveyed with vocational training places reported that the decrease in the number of apprenticeships is mainly due to the poor cyclical situation in the economy. However, firms also face structural problems. They noted that these problems included insufficient educational skills among applicants and a poor quality of education within vocational training itself - see table 2 below.
Measure | Support (%) |
Improvement of education for pupils | 93 |
Tax incentives for firms with vocational training places | 93 |
Improvement of education within vocational training | 92 |
More practice-oriented preparation before start of vocational training | 90 |
More flexible organisation of education in vocational training in order to increase availability of apprentices in firms | 84 |
Abolishment of compulsory recruitment after apprenticeships, as required by collective agreements | 82 |
Equivalence of general and vocational training | 72 |
Subsidised loans for additional apprenticeships | 69 |
Additional support for joint apprenticeships by several firms | 68 |
More advice to firms | 67 |
Source: IW survey of 900 enterprises, 2003.
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