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Antecipação e gestão do impacto da mudança

A antecipação e gestão do impacto da mudança é uma das seis atividades principais do programa de trabalho da Eurofound para o período de 2021-2024. A Eurofound fornecerá dados sobre os desenvolvimentos estruturais que afetam a economia e os mercados de trabalho da UE, impulsionados, em grande medida, pela digitalização e pela transição para uma economia neutra em carbono, mas também pela crise da COVID-19. A investigação destina-se a auxiliar os decisores políticos na antecipação e preparação dos mercados de trabalho e dos locais de trabalho europeus para estas mudanças.

A partir de 2021, a Eurofound fornecerá informações sobre o impacto destas megatendências nas condições de vida e de trabalho na UE. No domínio da digitalização, a investigação incidirá no impacto no emprego e nas condições de trabalho, bem como no mercado de trabalho. Os domínios a abranger incluirão o diálogo social e o seu papel na definição das mudanças estruturais, dos quadros regulamentares, da proteção social e da inteligência artificial (IA). Com base em estudos anteriores relativamente ao trabalho em plataformas em linha, o período de 2021-2024 constituirá uma oportunidade para se centrar no mapeamento e na avaliação da eficácia das iniciativas políticas na resposta aos desafios identificados com o trabalho em plataformas em linha.

A Eurofound procurará também apoiar a transição da UE para uma economia neutra em carbono, incluindo a economia circular e a execução do Instrumento de Recuperação da União Europeia, Next Generation EU, investigando os efeitos socioeconómicos. Estes incluem as mudanças no emprego e a transformação dos empregos e das condições de trabalho, bem como o impacto distributivo das políticas para as alterações climáticas. Alguns destes trabalhos basear-se-ão nos resultados de um projeto-piloto sobre o futuro da indústria transformadora (FOME) realizado pela Eurofound.

Para dar continuidade a este trabalho em 2021-2024, a Eurofound cooperará com várias organizações internacionais e agências da UE, por exemplo com a Agência Europeia do Ambiente (AEA) no domínio dos impactos sociais das políticas para as alterações climáticas. Além disso, será consolidada a colaboração existente com outros intervenientes na investigação nos domínios da digitalização — o Centro Comum de Investigação (CCI), a Agência dos Direitos Fundamentais da União Europeia (FRA) e a Agência Europeia para a Segurança e Saúde no Trabalho (EU-OSHA). Está também prevista uma parceria mais ampla com a Organização Internacional do Trabalho (OIT) sobre o mundo do trabalho em transformação.

«A economia e os mercados de trabalho da UE caracterizam-se pelo impacto das megatendências, nomeadamente a digitalização e a transição para uma economia neutra em carbono. É importante analisar de que forma estas transições estão a funcionar exatamente, o que está a mudar e a forma como isto terá impacto não só nas empresas, mas também na mão-de-obra e na sociedade.»

Irene Mandl, Chefe da Unidade de Emprego

Topic

Recent updates

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Principais mensagens das políticas

Infografia

As principais conclusões da investigação da Eurofound servem de contributo para os decisores políticos abordarem algumas das questões-chave neste domínio.

  • É fundamental apoiar os empregadores e os trabalhadores na dupla transição para a era digital e para uma economia neutra em carbono. Para além destes desenvolvimentos estruturais, a recente pandemia da COVID-19 representa um enorme desafio para a economia e o mercado de trabalho europeus.
  • As novas formas de emprego, tais como o trabalho em plataformas em linha e o trabalho móvel baseado nas TIC, estão cada vez mais presentes nos mercados de trabalho europeus. Impulsionadas pela utilização das TIC, caracterizam-se pelos novos tipos de relações laborais entre entidade empregadora e empregado, introduzindo alterações à organização do trabalho e aos padrões de trabalho. Estas novas formas de emprego criarão oportunidades e riscos para os mercados de trabalho da UE, que enfrentam a transição para uma economia neutra em carbono e para uma transformação digital, no contexto da pandemia da COVID-19.
  • As tecnologias digitais estão a transformar o trabalho e o local de trabalho, desencadeando mudanças no mercado de trabalho, tais como a reestruturação e a perda de postos de trabalho, e começam também a surgir novos perfis de emprego. Os perfis das tarefas nos empregos estão a adaptar-se devido à digitalização da produção e da prestação de serviços. O resultado é uma procura por competências diferentes.
  • Será importante investigar os efeitos conjuntos da digitalização e da transição para uma economia neutra em carbono na sequência da pandemia da COVID-19, e a forma como se reforçam mutuamente, ou como os benefícios de uma podem compensar os efeitos negativos da outra.
  • O potencial tecnológico para produzir, recolher e utilizar uma grande quantidade de dados pode melhorar a competitividade das empresas europeias e a qualidade do emprego. No entanto, será fundamental garantir que questões como a propriedade dos dados e a proteção dos dados sejam clarificadas, bem regulamentadas e aplicadas, a fim de evitar a exploração e comportamentos não éticos.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 Janeiro 2024
Publication
Work programme
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O ano de 2022 começou com um otimismo cauteloso. A Europa emergiu de dois anos da pandemia de COVID-19, com o instrumento NextGenerationEU a definir um plano para uma recuperação...

4 Maio 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (64)

In this report, we provide projections of how the Fit for 55 policy package may affect the sectoral and occupational structure of employment in the EU by 2030, and the impacts across different regions and countries.

25 October 2023

Automation and digitisation technologies, including artificial intelligence, are rapidly evolving and becoming increasingly powerful and pervasive. The full range of their effects in the workplace is yet to be seen. It is, however, important not only to explore the ethical implications of digital te

12 September 2023

O relatório em causa explora a dinâmica do desempenho ambiental dos Estados-Membros da UE e a medida em que as disparidades no seu desempenho diminuíram desde o início da década de 2000. O relatório é um produto da cooperação entre a Eurofound e a Agência Europeia do Ambiente, reunindo os

03 August 2023

A transição da UE para uma economia com impacto neutro no clima exige uma verdadeira revolução industrial limpa. O presente relatório explora as potenciais implicações socioeconómicas dessas mudanças fundamentais para as diferentes regiões e grupos populacionais europeus, seguindo uma abordagem

19 June 2023

The rise of the platform economy during the last decade is one of the main disrupting forces for European labour markets. While standard employment remains the norm, platforms are expanding their reach and diversifying into novel business models. In doing so, they are also attracting an increasing n

16 May 2023

O ano de 2022 começou com um otimismo cauteloso. A Europa emergiu de dois anos da pandemia de COVID-19, com o instrumento NextGenerationEU a definir um plano para uma recuperação que construa um futuro forte e sustentável. No entanto, o ataque da Rússia à Ucrânia no início do ano alterou

04 May 2023

O relatório explora cenários plausíveis e concebíveis, analisando a forma como o teletrabalho e o trabalho híbrido na UE se poderão desenvolver até 2035 e as suas implicações para o mundo do trabalho. Em que medida estão os superiores hierárquicos e os trabalhadores, as organizações patronais e os

28 April 2023

This paper presents an analytical summary of current academic and policy literature on the impact of climate change and policies to manage the transition to a carbon-neutral economy on four key domains: employment, working conditions, social dialogue and living conditions. It maps the main empirical

12 April 2023

A banca de retalho é um terreno fértil para estudar os impactos da digitalização no trabalho e no emprego. Os serviços financeiros são cada vez mais prestados em linha, sem intermediação de instituições de contacto direto com o cliente. Muitos bancos do setor têm sido objeto de uma profunda

26 September 2022

Digitisation and automation technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI), can affect working conditions in a variety of ways and their use in the workplace raises a host of new ethical concerns. Recently, the policy debate surrounding these concerns has become more prominent and has

30 May 2022

Online resources results (48)

Czech Republic: Latest working life developments – Q2 2017

Continued growth in the Czech economy, staff shortages in the social services sector, the tightening of agency employment rules and legislative measures to regulate Uber are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in the

Denmark: Latest working life developments – Q2 2017

Recommendations to position Denmark as a digital frontrunner in Europe, legislative proposals for health and safety and the terms of reference of the working environment committee are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life

Italy: New rules to protect self-employed workers and regulate ICT-based mobile work

Italy’s parliament has approved new legislation giving protection to self-employed workers and regulating ICT-based mobile work. Employer organisations have generally welcomed it, but unions criticise the legislation for its weak wording, the limited leeway left to collective bargaining, and for the

Germany: Working time back on the social partners' agenda

Working time is set to be a high priority during the next collective bargaining round, according to the German Metalworkers’ Union (IG Metall), whose recent survey looked at working time satisfaction. Another survey, by the Federation of German Employers’ Associations in the Metal and Electrical

Spain: Latest working life developments – Q1 2017

The inability of the national social partners to agree salary recommendations; digital disconnection after working hours; and the effects of the increase in the minimum wage on employment are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in

France: Latest working life developments – Q1 2017

Preparations for the presidential election and a revival of national social dialogue with the signing of a new collective agreement on the unemployment insurance scheme are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in France

Czech Republic: Latest working life developments – Q1 2017

Employers requesting government help in hiring foreign labour, plus government attempts to deal with the fourth industrial revolution and the digitalisation of the economy, are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in the

United Kingdom: Latest working life developments – Q4 2016

The latest developments on Brexit, the government’s review of the ‘future world of work’, the tribunal victory for Uber drivers and the strikes in December are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in the UK in the fourth

France: First company-level agreement on digital transformation signed at Orange

The new agreement signed by Orange and three trade unions contains measures designed to achieve a level-playing field for employees and to avoid ‘over-consumption’ of digital tools, a key element being respect for work–life balance with a guaranteed ‘right to switch off’.

Germany: Social partner and research perspectives on digitalisation

In April 2015, the German Federal Ministry for Labour and Social Affairs (BMAS) published a Green Paper looking at digitalisation and the effects of this on the labour market, the workforce and society. German social partners have also contributed their perspectives regarding potential employment


Blogs results (27)
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While 2020 may come to be seen as the year platform work gathered pace and started to go mainstream – thanks in large part to COVID-19 containment measures sparking an increase in food and grocery delivery – 2021 could be the year that regulation of platform work is set in motion. The well-known

24 Fevereiro 2021
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​​​​​​​With remote working becoming the new normal for many workers, it is surely the case that many employers are anxious to ensure that their employees are putting in full working days. Companies are likely to be investing in and deploying digital technologies for tracking employee performance

9 Dezembro 2020
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Whatever the benefits of telework – and there are many, including more flexible working time, increased productivity and less commuting – there are drawbacks, as many of the one-third of Europeans who were exclusively working from home during the pandemic will attest. Primary among these is the ‘alw

3 Dezembro 2020
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As Europe braces for a winter wave of the Coronavirus, behind the public health indicators that rightly dominate the headlines, a revolution in working life is under way. In early spring, millions of people throughout Europe took their work home and tried to rapidly adjust to the new world in which

12 Novembro 2020
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Fear has been mounting in the debate around new technologies and the implications for the future of work. But the Coronavirus outbreak is unveiling some real positives of technological advances. Digital communication tools are supporting and enhancing working from home, while innovative companies

6 Abril 2020
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We hear more and more about the platform economy, with the debate often revolving around the potential long-term implications of its growth on the labour market and the impact on traditional and established businesses and industries.

28 Janeiro 2020
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It feels like every day there are new articles or blog posts about how Uber drivers are exploited, or on the bad working conditions and safety standards for Deliveroo riders. In an era of ‘fake news’ can we trust that these are accurate? They most likely are, and I agree that things are not all rosy

17 Outubro 2019
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The spread of ICT in the economy is changing both the types of jobs that employ people and the types of tasks that people perform in their jobs. The latest research on the content of work suggests that computerisation has boosted the proportion of jobs with social interaction at their core, while at

1 Julho 2019
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Imagine you’re at work and something happens: you have to leave to visit a client, you have to go home to let in the plumber, or you have to collect the kids from school as the football training has just been cancelled. If you’re lucky, your employer gives you the flexibility to do this. If you’re

14 Maio 2019

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