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Predvídanie a riadenie vplyvu zmeny

Predvídanie a riadenie vplyvu zmeny je jednou zo šiestich hlavných aktivít pracovného programu nadácie Eurofound na obdobie 2021 – 2024. Eurofound poskytne dôkazy o štrukturálnom vývoji ovplyvňujúcom európske hospodárstvo a trhy práce, ktorého hybnou silou je predovšetkým digitalizáciaa prechod na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo, ale aj krízaCOVID-19. Cieľom tohto výskumu je pomôcť tvorcom politík predvídať a pripraviť európske trhy práce a pracoviská na tieto zmeny.

Od roku 2021 bude Eurofound poskytovať informácie o vplyve týchto megatrendov na životné a pracovné podmienky v EÚ. V oblasti digitalizácie sa výskum zameria na vplyv na zamestnanosť a pracovné podmienky, ako aj na trh práce. Medzi zahrnuté oblasti patrí sociálny dialóg a jeho úloha pri formovaní štrukturálnych zmien, regulačné rámce, sociálna ochrana a umelá inteligencia (AI). V nadväznosti na predchádzajúci výskum práce pre platformy budú roky 2021 – 2024 príležitosťou zamerať sa na mapovanie a hodnotenie účinnosti politických iniciatív pri riešení výziev identifikovaných pri práci pre platformy.

Cieľom nadácie Eurofound bude aj podpora prechodu EÚ na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo vrátane obehového hospodárstva a implementácie nástroja obnovy EÚ NextGenerationEU, a to pomocou skúmania sociálno-ekonomických účinkov. Patria sem zmeny zamestnania a transformácia pracovných miest a pracovných podmienok, ako aj distribučný vplyv politík v oblasti zmeny klímy. Niektoré z týchto prác budú nadväzovať na výsledky pilotného projektu o budúcnosti výroby (FOME) , ktorý uskutočnila nadácia Eurofound.

Pri pokračovaní v tejto práci počas rokov 2021 – 2024 bude Eurofound spolupracovať s rôznymi medzinárodnými organizáciami a agentúrami EÚ, napríklad s Európskou environmentálnou agentúrou (EEA) v oblasti sociálnych vplyvov politík v oblasti zmeny klímy. Okrem toho sa upevní existujúca spolupráca s ostatnými aktérmi výskumu v oblasti digitalizácie, ktorými sú Spoločné výskumné centrum (JRC), Agentúra pre základné práva (FRA) a Európska agentúra pre bezpečnosť a ochranu zdravia pri práci (EU-OSHA). Plánuje sa aj ďalšie partnerstvo s Medzinárodnou organizáciou práce (MOP) v oblasti meniaceho sa sveta práce.

„Pre hospodárstvo a trhy práce EÚ je charakteristický vplyv megatrendov, najmä digitalizácie a prechodu na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo. Dôležité je preskúmať presný spôsob fungovania týchto prechodov, čo sa mení a aký to bude mať vplyv nielen na organizácie, ale aj na pracovnú silu a spoločnosť.“

Irene Mandl, vedúca oddelenia zamestnanosti

Topic

Recent updates

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Kľúčové politické odkazy

Infografika

Hlavné zistenia vyplývajúce z výskumu nadácie Eurofound slúžia ako vstup pre tvorcov politík pri riešení niektorých kľúčových problémov v tejto oblasti.

  • Podpora zamestnávateľov a pracovníkov pri dvojitom prechode na digitálny vek a uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo je zásadná. Okrem tohto štrukturálneho vývoja predstavuje nedávna pandémia COVID-19 obrovskú výzvu pre európske hospodárstvo a trh práce.
  • Na európskych trhoch práce sa čoraz viac objavujú nové formy zamestnania, napríklad práca pre platformy a mobilná práca s využitím IKT. Ich hybnou silou je využívanie IKT a vyznačujú sa novými typmi pracovnoprávnych vzťahov medzi zamestnávateľom a zamestnancom, meniacou sa organizáciou práce a pracovnými režimami. Prinesú príležitosti aj riziká pre trhy práce v EÚ, ktoré riešia prechod na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo a digitálnu transformáciu na pozadí pandémie COVID-19.
  • Digitálne technológie transformujú prácu a pracovisko, prinášajú zmeny na trhu práce, ako sú napríklad reštrukturalizácia a strata pracovných miest a začínajú sa objavovať aj nové profily pracovných miest. Profily úloh v rámci pracovných miest sa prispôsobujú z dôvodu digitalizácie výroby a poskytovania služieb. Výsledkom je dopyt po odlišných zručnostiach.
  • Dôležité bude preskúmať spoločné účinky digitalizácie a prechodu na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo po pandémii COVID-19 a to, ako sa navzájom posilňujú alebo ako môžu výhody jedného kompenzovať negatívne účinky druhého.
  • Technologický potenciál na výrobu, zber a použitie veľkého množstva údajov môže zlepšiť konkurencieschopnosť európskych podnikov a kvalitu pracovných miest. Kľúčom k tomu, ako zabrániť vykorisťovaniu a neetickému správaniu, bude však zabezpečiť objasnenie, správnu reguláciu a implementáciu vlastníctva a ochrany údajov.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 január 2024
Publication
Work programme
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Úvod roka 2022 priniesol opatrný optimizmus. Európa sa vymanila z dvoch rokov pandémie ochorenia COVID-19, pričom v nástroji NextGenerationEU sa stanovuje plán obnovy, ktorým sa buduje silná a udržateľná budúcnosť...

4 máj 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (64)

Smartphone car service Uber, a successful company example of the sharing economy, has spread to many EU Member States in recent years. However, many employers and unions are concerned about its challenge to fair competition for other businesses in the sector and about the erosion of working

25 January 2016

Europe has begun to emerge from the prolonged slump caused by the global financial crisis in 2008 and exacerbated by the euro zone single-currency crisis in 2010–2011. In the last year, aggregate employment levels have risen faster than at any time since 2008. This, the fourth annual European Jobs

09 July 2015

Across Europe, new forms of employment are emerging that are different from traditional standard or non-standard employment in a number of ways. Some transform the relationship between employer and employee, some change work organisation and work patterns, and some do both. This report identifies

12 March 2015

While restructuring is increasingly acknowledged as an inherent characteristic of economic development and receives substantial policy attention at European and Member State level, the regional perspective on it is rarely discussed. However, most large-scale restructurings affect the regions and

09 September 2014

Traditional theory about international business suggests that companies first establish a solid home market and go global only in later stages of their life cycle. However, this view is challenged by research that shows that some firms internationalise quickly after start-up – so-called ‘born

07 January 2013

'What drives change' was the question discussed by 150 participants representing the Social Partners, European organisations and the European Institutions at a conference in Brussels - October 23, 2001. The conference, organised by the Foundation under the auspices of the Belgian Presidency marked

26 August 2012

This analysis of recent developments in the automotive sector in the countries covered by this report seems to support the idea that the sector’s expansion will – in the medium term – depend on the growth of emerging markets (Brazil, China and India). In these countries, the potential for growth in

08 February 2011

An estimated 14 million workers across Europe rely on the automotive sector for work. When the current economic downturn began to affect vehicle production, profound changes were already underway in the sector, triggered by the emergence of new markets and the search for lower production and labour

08 February 2011

Given the broadly positive attitudes of the social partners, it is somewhat surprising that support for globalisation among European citizens is actually falling. The proportion of European citizens seeing globalisation as a threat to employment went up from 39% in 2003 (EU15) to 47% in 2006 (EU25)

04 December 2008

At present, delocalisation only accounts for a relatively small number of jobs lost in Europe due to restructuring. However, competitive pressure from abroad leads to other forms of job loss. As European companies are increasingly exposed to foreign competition, a growing number of companies may not

02 June 2008

Online resources results (48)

Czech Republic: Latest working life developments – Q2 2017

Continued growth in the Czech economy, staff shortages in the social services sector, the tightening of agency employment rules and legislative measures to regulate Uber are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in the

Denmark: Latest working life developments – Q2 2017

Recommendations to position Denmark as a digital frontrunner in Europe, legislative proposals for health and safety and the terms of reference of the working environment committee are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life

Italy: New rules to protect self-employed workers and regulate ICT-based mobile work

Italy’s parliament has approved new legislation giving protection to self-employed workers and regulating ICT-based mobile work. Employer organisations have generally welcomed it, but unions criticise the legislation for its weak wording, the limited leeway left to collective bargaining, and for the

Germany: Working time back on the social partners' agenda

Working time is set to be a high priority during the next collective bargaining round, according to the German Metalworkers’ Union (IG Metall), whose recent survey looked at working time satisfaction. Another survey, by the Federation of German Employers’ Associations in the Metal and Electrical

Spain: Latest working life developments – Q1 2017

The inability of the national social partners to agree salary recommendations; digital disconnection after working hours; and the effects of the increase in the minimum wage on employment are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in

France: Latest working life developments – Q1 2017

Preparations for the presidential election and a revival of national social dialogue with the signing of a new collective agreement on the unemployment insurance scheme are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in France

Czech Republic: Latest working life developments – Q1 2017

Employers requesting government help in hiring foreign labour, plus government attempts to deal with the fourth industrial revolution and the digitalisation of the economy, are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in the

United Kingdom: Latest working life developments – Q4 2016

The latest developments on Brexit, the government’s review of the ‘future world of work’, the tribunal victory for Uber drivers and the strikes in December are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in the UK in the fourth

France: First company-level agreement on digital transformation signed at Orange

The new agreement signed by Orange and three trade unions contains measures designed to achieve a level-playing field for employees and to avoid ‘over-consumption’ of digital tools, a key element being respect for work–life balance with a guaranteed ‘right to switch off’.

Germany: Social partner and research perspectives on digitalisation

In April 2015, the German Federal Ministry for Labour and Social Affairs (BMAS) published a Green Paper looking at digitalisation and the effects of this on the labour market, the workforce and society. German social partners have also contributed their perspectives regarding potential employment


Blogs results (27)

Not only do we need appropriate policy measures to drive the shift to a carbon-neutral economy, we also need sound policy to ensure no one is left behind – we need to ensure a just transition.

2 máj 2024

‘Building back better’ is not just an empty slogan – we need the construction sector to help us achieve our climate targets. Eurofound research reveals that construction is where the Fit for 55 climate policy package will generate the most net new employment.

4 december 2023
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The platform economy is one of those moving targets, which, despite receiving increasing media and policy attention, has proven difficult to regulate. Given the heterogeneity of employment relationships, business models, types of platform work and cross-border issues, this is not surprising. Yet, in

27 september 2022
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Rising energy prices are putting more people under increased financial pressure and at greater risk of energy poverty. In this data story, we take a closer look at the data from the fifth round of the Living, working and COVID-19 e-survey to explore the extent of the issue and the threat of energy

3 august 2022
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Telework has become a permanent feature of working life in Europe. While we’ve seen the benefits of more flexible ways of working – particularly during the pandemic – the problems that arise from an increasingly connected life are also becoming clearer. Unfortunately, legislation alone may not be

13 júl 2022
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The answer is yes – potentially. Assessing the environmental benefits of telework is a complex task, because any move to work from home involves a series of changes in individuals’ daily lives and activities, as well as company-level decisions, that may positively or negatively influence the level

23 jún 2022
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Whether it is couch surfing, baby-sitting, pizza delivery or getting Ikea furniture assembled by somebody who can do it better, platforms can mediate all kinds of voluntary or professional services. Platform work is at the heart of the ‘sharing economy’. But while this may sound like a new form of

31 marec 2022
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The advent of AI has far more consequences for how work is organised, performed and valued than any previous technological revolution. In order to make the most of this digital transformation we need inclusive and nuanced policy debates on its employment effects and how to future-proof policies: we

8 december 2021
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COVID-19 has shown that some things can hit us out of the blue. The pandemic sent a shockwave through businesses all over the world and has brought massive changes to work organisation, internal communication and day-to-day operations for many companies. Doubtless, the depth of the pandemic’s impact

21 jún 2021
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On 9 May, the Conference on the Future of Europe will get underway. Floated well before the COVID-19 outbreak, its timing in the wake of the seismic shifts precipitated by the pandemic, and its implementation alongside the European Pillar of Social Rights Action Plan, means that the outcomes could

4 máj 2021

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