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Predvídanie a riadenie vplyvu zmeny

Predvídanie a riadenie vplyvu zmeny je jednou zo šiestich hlavných aktivít pracovného programu nadácie Eurofound na obdobie 2021 – 2024. Eurofound poskytne dôkazy o štrukturálnom vývoji ovplyvňujúcom európske hospodárstvo a trhy práce, ktorého hybnou silou je predovšetkým digitalizáciaa prechod na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo, ale aj krízaCOVID-19. Cieľom tohto výskumu je pomôcť tvorcom politík predvídať a pripraviť európske trhy práce a pracoviská na tieto zmeny.

Od roku 2021 bude Eurofound poskytovať informácie o vplyve týchto megatrendov na životné a pracovné podmienky v EÚ. V oblasti digitalizácie sa výskum zameria na vplyv na zamestnanosť a pracovné podmienky, ako aj na trh práce. Medzi zahrnuté oblasti patrí sociálny dialóg a jeho úloha pri formovaní štrukturálnych zmien, regulačné rámce, sociálna ochrana a umelá inteligencia (AI). V nadväznosti na predchádzajúci výskum práce pre platformy budú roky 2021 – 2024 príležitosťou zamerať sa na mapovanie a hodnotenie účinnosti politických iniciatív pri riešení výziev identifikovaných pri práci pre platformy.

Cieľom nadácie Eurofound bude aj podpora prechodu EÚ na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo vrátane obehového hospodárstva a implementácie nástroja obnovy EÚ NextGenerationEU, a to pomocou skúmania sociálno-ekonomických účinkov. Patria sem zmeny zamestnania a transformácia pracovných miest a pracovných podmienok, ako aj distribučný vplyv politík v oblasti zmeny klímy. Niektoré z týchto prác budú nadväzovať na výsledky pilotného projektu o budúcnosti výroby (FOME) , ktorý uskutočnila nadácia Eurofound.

Pri pokračovaní v tejto práci počas rokov 2021 – 2024 bude Eurofound spolupracovať s rôznymi medzinárodnými organizáciami a agentúrami EÚ, napríklad s Európskou environmentálnou agentúrou (EEA) v oblasti sociálnych vplyvov politík v oblasti zmeny klímy. Okrem toho sa upevní existujúca spolupráca s ostatnými aktérmi výskumu v oblasti digitalizácie, ktorými sú Spoločné výskumné centrum (JRC), Agentúra pre základné práva (FRA) a Európska agentúra pre bezpečnosť a ochranu zdravia pri práci (EU-OSHA). Plánuje sa aj ďalšie partnerstvo s Medzinárodnou organizáciou práce (MOP) v oblasti meniaceho sa sveta práce.

„Pre hospodárstvo a trhy práce EÚ je charakteristický vplyv megatrendov, najmä digitalizácie a prechodu na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo. Dôležité je preskúmať presný spôsob fungovania týchto prechodov, čo sa mení a aký to bude mať vplyv nielen na organizácie, ale aj na pracovnú silu a spoločnosť.“

Irene Mandl, vedúca oddelenia zamestnanosti

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Kľúčové politické odkazy

Infografika

Hlavné zistenia vyplývajúce z výskumu nadácie Eurofound slúžia ako vstup pre tvorcov politík pri riešení niektorých kľúčových problémov v tejto oblasti.

  • Podpora zamestnávateľov a pracovníkov pri dvojitom prechode na digitálny vek a uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo je zásadná. Okrem tohto štrukturálneho vývoja predstavuje nedávna pandémia COVID-19 obrovskú výzvu pre európske hospodárstvo a trh práce.
  • Na európskych trhoch práce sa čoraz viac objavujú nové formy zamestnania, napríklad práca pre platformy a mobilná práca s využitím IKT. Ich hybnou silou je využívanie IKT a vyznačujú sa novými typmi pracovnoprávnych vzťahov medzi zamestnávateľom a zamestnancom, meniacou sa organizáciou práce a pracovnými režimami. Prinesú príležitosti aj riziká pre trhy práce v EÚ, ktoré riešia prechod na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo a digitálnu transformáciu na pozadí pandémie COVID-19.
  • Digitálne technológie transformujú prácu a pracovisko, prinášajú zmeny na trhu práce, ako sú napríklad reštrukturalizácia a strata pracovných miest a začínajú sa objavovať aj nové profily pracovných miest. Profily úloh v rámci pracovných miest sa prispôsobujú z dôvodu digitalizácie výroby a poskytovania služieb. Výsledkom je dopyt po odlišných zručnostiach.
  • Dôležité bude preskúmať spoločné účinky digitalizácie a prechodu na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo po pandémii COVID-19 a to, ako sa navzájom posilňujú alebo ako môžu výhody jedného kompenzovať negatívne účinky druhého.
  • Technologický potenciál na výrobu, zber a použitie veľkého množstva údajov môže zlepšiť konkurencieschopnosť európskych podnikov a kvalitu pracovných miest. Kľúčom k tomu, ako zabrániť vykorisťovaniu a neetickému správaniu, bude však zabezpečiť objasnenie, správnu reguláciu a implementáciu vlastníctva a ochrany údajov.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 január 2024
Publication
Work programme
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Úvod roka 2022 priniesol opatrný optimizmus. Európa sa vymanila z dvoch rokov pandémie ochorenia COVID-19, pričom v nástroji NextGenerationEU sa stanovuje plán obnovy, ktorým sa buduje silná a udržateľná budúcnosť...

4 máj 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (64)

In this report, we provide projections of how the Fit for 55 policy package may affect the sectoral and occupational structure of employment in the EU by 2030, and the impacts across different regions and countries.

25 October 2023

Automation and digitisation technologies, including artificial intelligence, are rapidly evolving and becoming increasingly powerful and pervasive. The full range of their effects in the workplace is yet to be seen. It is, however, important not only to explore the ethical implications of digital te

12 September 2023

V tejto správe sa pozornosť venuje dynamike environmentálneho správania členských štátov EÚ a rozsahu, v akom sa rozdiely v ich výkonnosti od začiatku 20. storočia zmenšili. Táto správa vznikla vďaka spolupráci medzi nadáciou Eurofound a Európskou environmentálnou agentúrou, pričom technické odborné

03 August 2023

Prechod EÚ na klimaticky neutrálne hospodárstvo si vyžaduje výlučne čistú priemyselnú revolúciu. V tejto správe sa skúmajú potenciálne sociálno-ekonomické dôsledky takejto základnej zmeny na rôzne európske regióny a skupiny obyvateľstva na základe výhľadového prístupu. Spolupráca so zainteresovanými

19 June 2023

The rise of the platform economy during the last decade is one of the main disrupting forces for European labour markets. While standard employment remains the norm, platforms are expanding their reach and diversifying into novel business models. In doing so, they are also attracting an increasing n

16 May 2023

Úvod roka 2022 priniesol opatrný optimizmus. Európa sa vymanila z dvoch rokov pandémie ochorenia COVID-19, pričom v nástroji NextGenerationEU sa stanovuje plán obnovy, ktorým sa buduje silná a udržateľná budúcnosť. Ruský útok na Ukrajinu začiatkom roka však túto situáciu dramaticky zmenil a vyvolal

04 May 2023

V správe sa analyzujú pravdepodobné a predstaviteľné scenáre, v ktorých sa skúma, ako by sa telepráca a hybridná práca v EÚ mohli vyvinúť do roku 2035 a ich dôsledky na svet práce. Do akej miery sú manažéri a zamestnanci, organizácie zamestnávateľov a odborové zväzy a politickí stratégovia

28 April 2023

This paper presents an analytical summary of current academic and policy literature on the impact of climate change and policies to manage the transition to a carbon-neutral economy on four key domains: employment, working conditions, social dialogue and living conditions. It maps the main empirical

12 April 2023

Retailové bankovníctvo je úrodnou pôdou pre štúdium vplyvov digitalizácie na prácu a zamestnanosť. V čoraz väčšej miere sa finančné služby poskytujú online, čiže bez inštitúcií sprostredkúvajúcich priamy kontakt s klientmi. Od obdobia celosvetovej finančnej krízy mnoho bánk v tomto odvetví prešlo

26 September 2022

Digitisation and automation technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI), can affect working conditions in a variety of ways and their use in the workplace raises a host of new ethical concerns. Recently, the policy debate surrounding these concerns has become more prominent and has

30 May 2022

Online resources results (47)
Climate change objectives and decarbonisation measures are vital for the future of Europe. But how will these objectives impact employment and the labour market? In this episode of the Eurofound Talks podcast series, Mary McCaughey speaks with Eurofound Senior Research Manager John Hurley about new
22 november 2023
Image of a group of cyclists crossing at a street junction.

Facing up to the social realities of the green transition

The European Green Deal binds the European Union to becoming a climate-neutral territory by 2050. As part of this, the European Climate Law (June 2021) commits the EU to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% (compared with 1990 levels) by 2030. To achieve this, a fundamental transformati

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Coronavirus highlights sick pay void for platform workers

The coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is starting to have a serious impact on the world economy. The consequences for platform workers are especially severe in light of forced work stoppages due to self-isolation and lack of sick pay in many cases. Recent media coverage shows that platform workers in

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Amazon’s expansion in Europe

The U.S. online retail giant Amazon is investing heavily in Europe, creating 11,580 jobs in 2018 alone. As Europe turns towards e-commerce, automation and digitalisation, Amazon will play a key role in reshaping the retail sector. But its impacts are unlikely to be confined to retail alone.

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Lloyds bank’s digital transformation

Lloyds Banking Group is investing £3 billion (€3.35 billion) in technology and staff to improve its digital services. As a result, the Group has announced that it is cutting over 6,000 existing positions while creating 8,000 new jobs oriented towards digital technologies. The move reflects the

Platform work and employment conditions Informal meeting of EU Employment and Social Policy Ministers (EPSCO), 19 July 2018, Vienna, Austria Presentation by Juan Menéndez-Valdés, Director, Eurofound

19 júl 2018

Task profiles development in response to future job needs EMCO meeting, 22 March 2018, Sofia, Bulgaria Presentation by Martina Bisello, Research Officer, Eurofound

27 marec 2018

Spain: AXA recognises workers’ right to turn phones off out of working hours

The beginning of 2017 witnessed increasing debate on allowing workers to disconnect their digital devices after working hours. In July 2017, insurance company AXA became the first company in Spain to recognise workers’ right to do so. The government is currently studying possible legislation in

Czech Republic: Latest working life developments – Q2 2017

Continued growth in the Czech economy, staff shortages in the social services sector, the tightening of agency employment rules and legislative measures to regulate Uber are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in the


Blogs results (27)

Not only do we need appropriate policy measures to drive the shift to a carbon-neutral economy, we also need sound policy to ensure no one is left behind – we need to ensure a just transition.

2 máj 2024

‘Building back better’ is not just an empty slogan – we need the construction sector to help us achieve our climate targets. Eurofound research reveals that construction is where the Fit for 55 climate policy package will generate the most net new employment.

4 december 2023
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The platform economy is one of those moving targets, which, despite receiving increasing media and policy attention, has proven difficult to regulate. Given the heterogeneity of employment relationships, business models, types of platform work and cross-border issues, this is not surprising. Yet, in

27 september 2022
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Rising energy prices are putting more people under increased financial pressure and at greater risk of energy poverty. In this data story, we take a closer look at the data from the fifth round of the Living, working and COVID-19 e-survey to explore the extent of the issue and the threat of energy

3 august 2022
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Telework has become a permanent feature of working life in Europe. While we’ve seen the benefits of more flexible ways of working – particularly during the pandemic – the problems that arise from an increasingly connected life are also becoming clearer. Unfortunately, legislation alone may not be

13 júl 2022
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The answer is yes – potentially. Assessing the environmental benefits of telework is a complex task, because any move to work from home involves a series of changes in individuals’ daily lives and activities, as well as company-level decisions, that may positively or negatively influence the level

23 jún 2022
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Whether it is couch surfing, baby-sitting, pizza delivery or getting Ikea furniture assembled by somebody who can do it better, platforms can mediate all kinds of voluntary or professional services. Platform work is at the heart of the ‘sharing economy’. But while this may sound like a new form of

31 marec 2022
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The advent of AI has far more consequences for how work is organised, performed and valued than any previous technological revolution. In order to make the most of this digital transformation we need inclusive and nuanced policy debates on its employment effects and how to future-proof policies: we

8 december 2021
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COVID-19 has shown that some things can hit us out of the blue. The pandemic sent a shockwave through businesses all over the world and has brought massive changes to work organisation, internal communication and day-to-day operations for many companies. Doubtless, the depth of the pandemic’s impact

21 jún 2021
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On 9 May, the Conference on the Future of Europe will get underway. Floated well before the COVID-19 outbreak, its timing in the wake of the seismic shifts precipitated by the pandemic, and its implementation alongside the European Pillar of Social Rights Action Plan, means that the outcomes could

4 máj 2021

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