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Anticiper et gérer l’impact du changement

L’une des six principales activités du programme de travail d’Eurofound pour la période 2021-2024 consiste à anticiper et à gérer l’impact du changement. Eurofound fournira des informations sur les évolutions structurelles qui affectent l’économie et les marchés du travail de l’UE, principalement sous l’effet de la transition numérique et de la transition vers une économie neutre en carbone , mais aussi de la crise de la COVID-19. Les recherches visent à aider les décideurs politiques à anticiper ces changements et à préparer les marchés du travail et les lieux de travail européens à y faire face.

À partir de 2021, Eurofound fournira un aperçu des effets de ces mégatendances sur les conditions de vie et de travail dans l’UE. Dans le domaine de la numérisation, la recherche s’intéressera à l’impact sur les conditions d’emploi et de travail, ainsi que sur le marché du travail. Les domaines couverts comprendront notamment le dialogue social et son rôle dans le processus de changement structurel, les cadres réglementaires, la protection sociale et l’intelligence artificielle (IA). Sur la base des recherches antérieures menées sur le travail via une plateforme numérique, la période 2021-2024 sera l’occasion de recenser et d’évaluer l’efficacité des initiatives politiques pour s’attaquer aux défis posés par cette forme de travail.

Eurofound entend également soutenir la transition de l’UE vers une économie neutre en carbone, y compris l’économie circulaire et la mise en œuvre de l’instrument de relance de l’UE «NextGenerationEU», en étudiant les effets socio-économiques. Ces effets comprennent les transferts d’emplois et la transformation des emplois et des conditions de travail, ainsi que l’impact des politiques de lutte contre le changement climatique sur la répartition des emplois. Certains de ces travaux s’appuieront sur les résultats d’un projet pilote, Future of manufacturing in Europe (FOME), mené par Eurofound.

Pour poursuivre ces travaux en 2021-2024, Eurofound coopérera avec diverses organisations internationales et agences de l’UE, par exemple avec l’Agence européenne pour l’environnement (AEE) dans le domaine des impacts sociaux des politiques en matière de changement climatique. En outre, la collaboration existante avec d’autres acteurs de la recherche dans le domaine de la numérisation – le Centre commun de recherche (CCR), l’Agence des droits fondamentaux (FRA) et l’Agence européenne pour la sécurité et la santé au travail (EU-OSHA) – sera consolidée. Il est également prévu de poursuivre le partenariat avec l’Organisation internationale du travail (OIT) sur le thème de l’évolution du monde du travail.

 

«L’économie et les marchés du travail de l’UE sont marqués par l’impact des mégatendances, notamment la numérisation et la transition vers une économie neutre en carbone. Il est important d’étudier comment ces transitions fonctionnent exactement, quels sont les changements en cours et dans quelle mesure cela aura un impact non seulement sur les entreprises, mais aussi sur la main-d’œuvre et la société».

— Irene Mandl, cheffe de l’unité Emploi

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Principaux messages politiques

Infographie

Les principaux résultats des recherches d’Eurofound permettent aux décideurs politiques de traiter certaines des questions clés dans ce domaine.

  • Il est essentiel de soutenir les employeurs et les travailleurs dans la double transition vers l’ère numérique et vers une économie neutre en carbone. En plus de ces développements structurels, la récente pandémie de COVID-19 représente un énorme défi pour l’économie et le marché du travail européens.
  • De nouvelles formes d’emploi, telles que le travail via une plateforme et les travaux mobiles basés sur les TIC, gagnent en importance sur les marchés du travail européens. Portées par l’utilisation des TIC, elles se caractérisent par des changements dans les relations de travail entre l’employeur et le salarié, mais aussi dans l’organisation du travail et des modes de travail. Elles entraîneront à la fois des opportunités et des risques pour les marchés du travail de l’UE confrontés à une double transition (écologique et numérique) dans le contexte de la pandémie COVID-19.
  • Les technologies numériques transforment le travail et le lieu de travail, provoquant des changements sur le marché du travail tels que des restructurations et des pertes d’emplois, et de nouveaux profils d’emploi commencent également à apparaître. Les profils des tâches s’adaptent en raison de la numérisation de la production et des services, ce qui entraîne une demande de compétences différentes.
  • Il sera important d’étudier les effets conjugués de ces deux transitions, numérique et écologique, à la suite de la pandémie de COVID-19 et de voir si elles se renforcent mutuellement ou si les avantages de l’une peuvent compenser les effets négatifs de l’autre.
  • Les possibilités offertes par la technologie pour produire, collecter et utiliser une grande quantité de données peuvent améliorer la compétitivité des entreprises européennes et la qualité de l’emploi. Toutefois, il sera essentiel de veiller à préciser, réglementer et appliquer des mesures telles que celles sur la propriété et la protection des données afin d’éviter toute exploitation et tout comportement contraire à l’éthique.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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L’année 2022 a débuté sur fond d’optimisme prudent. Alors que l’Europe sortait de deux années de pandémie de COVID-19 et que, dans le cadre de NextGenerationEU, un plan pour la...

4 mai 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (64)

In this report, we provide projections of how the Fit for 55 policy package may affect the sectoral and occupational structure of employment in the EU by 2030, and the impacts across different regions and countries.

25 October 2023

Automation and digitisation technologies, including artificial intelligence, are rapidly evolving and becoming increasingly powerful and pervasive. The full range of their effects in the workplace is yet to be seen. It is, however, important not only to explore the ethical implications of digital te

12 September 2023

Le présent rapport étudie la dynamique des performances environnementales des États membres de l’UE et la mesure dans laquelle leurs disparités en la matière se sont réduites depuis le début des années 2000. Il est le fruit d’une coopération entre Eurofound et l’Agence européenne pour l

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La transition de l'UE vers une économie neutre sur le plan climatique ne nécessite rien de moins qu'une révolution industrielle propre. Ce rapport explore les implications socio-économiques potentielles d'un tel changement fondamental pour différentes régions européennes et différents groupes de

19 June 2023

The rise of the platform economy during the last decade is one of the main disrupting forces for European labour markets. While standard employment remains the norm, platforms are expanding their reach and diversifying into novel business models. In doing so, they are also attracting an increasing n

16 May 2023

L’année 2022 a débuté sur fond d’optimisme prudent. Alors que l’Europe sortait de deux années de pandémie de COVID-19 et que, dans le cadre de NextGenerationEU, un plan pour la reprise visant à construire un avenir solide et durable était présenté, l’attaque menée par la Russie contre l’Ukraine au

04 May 2023

Le rapport explore des scénarios plausibles et imaginables examinant comment le télétravail et le travail hybride dans l’UE pourraient évoluer d’ici à 2035, et les implications pour le monde du travail. Dans quelle mesure les dirigeants et les salariés, les organisations patronales et les syndicats

28 April 2023

This paper presents an analytical summary of current academic and policy literature on the impact of climate change and policies to manage the transition to a carbon-neutral economy on four key domains: employment, working conditions, social dialogue and living conditions. It maps the main empirical

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Le secteur de la banque de détail est un terrain fertile pour étudier les incidences de la numérisation sur le travail et l’emploi. Les services financiers sont de plus en plus souvent fournis en ligne, sans l’intervention d’établissements accueillant des clients. De nombreuses banques de ce secteur

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Online resources results (47)
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The European Green Deal binds the European Union to becoming a climate-neutral territory by 2050. As part of this, the European Climate Law (June 2021) commits the EU to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% (compared with 1990 levels) by 2030. To achieve this, a fundamental transformati

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Coronavirus highlights sick pay void for platform workers

The coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is starting to have a serious impact on the world economy. The consequences for platform workers are especially severe in light of forced work stoppages due to self-isolation and lack of sick pay in many cases. Recent media coverage shows that platform workers in

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Amazon’s expansion in Europe

The U.S. online retail giant Amazon is investing heavily in Europe, creating 11,580 jobs in 2018 alone. As Europe turns towards e-commerce, automation and digitalisation, Amazon will play a key role in reshaping the retail sector. But its impacts are unlikely to be confined to retail alone.

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Lloyds bank’s digital transformation

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Platform work and employment conditions Informal meeting of EU Employment and Social Policy Ministers (EPSCO), 19 July 2018, Vienna, Austria Presentation by Juan Menéndez-Valdés, Director, Eurofound

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Task profiles development in response to future job needs EMCO meeting, 22 March 2018, Sofia, Bulgaria Presentation by Martina Bisello, Research Officer, Eurofound

27 mars 2018

Spain: AXA recognises workers’ right to turn phones off out of working hours

The beginning of 2017 witnessed increasing debate on allowing workers to disconnect their digital devices after working hours. In July 2017, insurance company AXA became the first company in Spain to recognise workers’ right to do so. The government is currently studying possible legislation in

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4 décembre 2023
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The platform economy is one of those moving targets, which, despite receiving increasing media and policy attention, has proven difficult to regulate. Given the heterogeneity of employment relationships, business models, types of platform work and cross-border issues, this is not surprising. Yet, in

27 septembre 2022
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Rising energy prices are putting more people under increased financial pressure and at greater risk of energy poverty. In this data story, we take a closer look at the data from the fifth round of the Living, working and COVID-19 e-survey to explore the extent of the issue and the threat of energy

3 août 2022
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Telework has become a permanent feature of working life in Europe. While we’ve seen the benefits of more flexible ways of working – particularly during the pandemic – the problems that arise from an increasingly connected life are also becoming clearer. Unfortunately, legislation alone may not be

13 juillet 2022
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23 juin 2022
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Whether it is couch surfing, baby-sitting, pizza delivery or getting Ikea furniture assembled by somebody who can do it better, platforms can mediate all kinds of voluntary or professional services. Platform work is at the heart of the ‘sharing economy’. But while this may sound like a new form of

31 mars 2022
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The advent of AI has far more consequences for how work is organised, performed and valued than any previous technological revolution. In order to make the most of this digital transformation we need inclusive and nuanced policy debates on its employment effects and how to future-proof policies: we

8 décembre 2021
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COVID-19 has shown that some things can hit us out of the blue. The pandemic sent a shockwave through businesses all over the world and has brought massive changes to work organisation, internal communication and day-to-day operations for many companies. Doubtless, the depth of the pandemic’s impact

21 juin 2021
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On 9 May, the Conference on the Future of Europe will get underway. Floated well before the COVID-19 outbreak, its timing in the wake of the seismic shifts precipitated by the pandemic, and its implementation alongside the European Pillar of Social Rights Action Plan, means that the outcomes could

4 mai 2021
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While 2020 may come to be seen as the year platform work gathered pace and started to go mainstream – thanks in large part to COVID-19 containment measures sparking an increase in food and grocery delivery – 2021 could be the year that regulation of platform work is set in motion. The well-known

24 février 2021

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