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Abstract

The report explores plausible and imaginable scenarios examining how telework and hybrid work in the EU might have developed by 2035, and their implications for the world of work. How prepared are managers and employees, employer organisations and trade unions, and policymakers for the greater prevalence of these ways of organising work? How can they ensure that future telework and hybrid work arrangements benefit both employees and organisations? Using a foresight methodology, the report identifies blind spots, outlines emerging issues and assists policymakers in addressing key issues related to this form of work.

Key findings

In the post-pandemic world of work, some employees have returned to the workplace full time, but many are opting for hybrid work, often working from home or at another place several times a week and at different times of the day. To support policymakers in ensuring that the right conditions for telework and hybrid work are in place, Eurofound has developed various scenarios on the future of telework and hybrid work, highlighting different implications for the quality of work and organisational practices.

Although telework and hybrid working are still evolving, new research suggests that developing telework and hybrid work in an equitable way brings better outcomes in terms of job quality and organisational practices. It will therefore be critical for the social partners and policymakers to consider issues such as ensuring fairness in the workplace, reviewing organisational practices and enabling autonomy, developing managers’ skills, streamlining regulatory arrangements, guaranteeing job quality in situations of telework or hybrid work, and ensuring the voice of workers when designing a positive future for telework and hybrid work.

Without careful planning, changing work arrangements have the potential to disrupt workplace dynamics and accentuate gender imbalances. This highlights the importance of supporting organisations in implementing telework and hybrid work arrangements across a range of areas, such as re-examining health and safety risk assessment practices in relation to psychosocial risks, creating a culture of trust in organisations and paying attention to advanced technologies that can affect the remote management of tasks in the future.

To ensure that line managers are well equipped to manage hybrid work, organisations will be required to invest in training. Effective training strategies will require guidelines on topics such as communication, fairness and inclusion, as well as recommendations on, for example, operational efficiency and promoting employee engagement in hybrid environments.

It will be a priority for policymakers at national level to consider the most appropriate ways of setting minimum standards for telework and hybrid working, for example, in areas such as the right to disconnect, equipment costs, communication, energy costs, health and safety, mental health, and equal treatment of teleworkers and those working only at the employer’s premises. The social partners have a critical role to play in shaping these standards. At EU level, monitoring and the issue of cross-border telework and hybrid work, including the tax and social security implications will also be important.

The report contains the following lists of tables and figures.

List of tables

  • Table 1: Overview of scenarios (key characteristics)
  • Table 2: Potential implications for job quality
  • Table 3: Potential implications for organisational practices
  • Table 4: Definitions of the key factors driving the future of telework and hybrid work to 2035
  • Table 5: List of selected references used in identifying drivers of telework and hybrid work
  • Table 6: Selected and ranked key factors driving the future of telework and hybrid work
  • Table 7: Projections for each key factor driving the future of telework and hybrid work

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Proportions of employees engaged in telework, EU27 and the UK, 2015 (%)
  • Figure 2: Location of work across three rounds of the Living, working and COVID-19 e-survey (%)
  • Figure 3: Shares of employees working from home by country, EU27, 2019–2021 (%)
  • Figure 4: Developing new hybrid models of work organisation
  • Figure 5: Degrees of constraint on place and time of work
  • Figure 6: Stages of the key-factor-based methodology for developing scenarios
  • Figure 7: Selected drivers of telework and hybrid work by uncertainty and impact
Number of pages
60
Reference nº
EF22028
ISBN
978-92-897-2319-0
Catalogue nº
TJ-05-23-087-EN-N
DOI
10.2806/234429
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