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Pokyčių poveikio numatymas ir valdymas

Pokyčių poveikio numatymas ir valdymas – viena iš šešių pagrindinių EUROFOUND darbo programos veiklos sričių 2021–2024 m. laikotarpiu. EUROFOUND pateiks ES ekonomiką ir darbo rinkas veikiančių struktūrinių pokyčių, kuriuos daugiausia skatina skaitmeninimas ir perėjimas prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos , bet kartu ir COVID-19 krizė, įrodymų. Tyrimo tikslas – padėti politikos formuotojams numatyti ir paruošti Europos darbo rinkas ir darbo vietas šiems pokyčiams.

Nuo 2021 m. EUROFOUND pateiks savo įžvalgas apie šių didžiųjų tendencijų poveikį gyvenimo ir darbo sąlygoms ES. Skaitmeninimo srityje tyrime daug dėmesio bus skiriama poveikiui užimtumui ir darbo sąlygoms, taip pat darbo rinkai. Kitos sritys apima socialinį dialogą ir jo reikšmę formuojant struktūrinius pokyčius, reguliavimo sistemas, socialinę apsaugą ir dirbtinį intelektą (DI). Remiantis ankstesniais darbo skaitmeninėse platformose tyrimais 2021–2024 m. laikotarpiu suteikiama galimybė daug dėmesio skirti veiklos planavimui ir politikos iniciatyvų veiksmingumo vertinimui sprendžiant nustatytus su darbu skaitmeninėse platformose susijusius sunkumus.

EUROFOUND taip pat sieks remti ES perėjimą prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos, įskaitant žiedinę ekonomiką ir ES ekonomikos gaivinimo priemonę „Next Generation EU“, nagrinėjant socialinius ir ekonominius padarinius. Jie apima pokyčius užimtumo srityje ir keičiamas darbo vietas bei darbo sąlygas, taip pat kovos su klimato kaita politikos paskirstymo poveikį. Dalis šio darbo bus paremta EUROFOUND bandomojo projekto „Gamybos ateitis“ (angl. FOME) rezultatais.

Siekdamas šį darbą tęsti 2021–2024 m. EUROFOUND bendradarbiaus su įvairiomis tarptautinėmis organizacijomis ir ES agentūromis, pavyzdžiui, Europos aplinkos agentūra (EAA), kovos su klimato kaita politikos socialinio poveikio srityje. Be to, bus glaudžiau bendradarbiaujama su kitais mokslinius tyrimus atliekančiais subjektais skaitmeninimo srityje: Jungtiniu tyrimų centru (JRC), Europos Sąjungos pagrindinių teisių agentūra (FRA) ir Europos darbuotojų saugos ir sveikatos agentūra (EU-OSHA). Kintančios darbo rinkos klausimu taip pat numatoma toliau stiprinti partnerystę su Tarptautine darbo organizacija (TDO).

„ES ekonomikai ir darbo rinkoms būdingas didžiųjų tendencijų poveikis, visų pirma skaitmeninimas ir perėjimas prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos. Svarbu išnagrinėti, kaip būtent toks perėjimas veikia, kas keičiasi ir kaip tai veikia ne tik įmones, bet ir darbo jėgą ir visuomenę.“

Irene Mandl, Užimtumo skyriaus vadovė

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Not only do we need appropriate policy measures to drive the shift to a carbon-neutral economy, we also need sound policy to ensure no one is left behind – we...

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Pagrindiniai politikos siekiai

Infografikas

Pagrindiniais EUROFOUND tyrimų rezultatais politikos formuotojai vadovaujasi spręsdami tam tikrus svarbius šios srities klausimus.

  • Labai svarbu remti darbdavius ir darbuotojus dvejopos pertvarkos metu pereinant prie skaitmeninio amžiaus ir anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos. Be šių struktūrinių pokyčių Europos ekonomikai ir darbo rinkai didžiulių sunkumų kelia dabartinė COVID-19 pandemija.
  • Europos darbo rinkose daugėja naujų užimtumo formų, pavyzdžiui, darbas skaitmeninėse platformose ir IRT pagrįstas mobilus darbas. Darbo rinkose naudojamos IRT ir joms būdingi nauji darbdavių ir darbuotojų darbo santykių tipai, kurie keičia darbo organizavimą ir darbo modelius. Tai atvers naujų galimybių ir kels tam tikrų pavojų ES darbo rinkose, kurios pereina prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos ir skaitmeninės transformacijos, atsižvelgiant į COVID-19 pandemiją.
  • Skaitmeninės technologijos transformuoja darbą ir darbo vietas bei skatina darbo rinkų pokyčius, pavyzdžiui, restruktūrizavimą ir darbo vietų sumažėjimą, bet taip pat naujų profesinių profilių kūrimąsi. Dėl gamybos ir paslaugų teikimo skaitmeninimo pritaikomas darbo užduočių pobūdis. To rezultatas yra įvairių įgūdžių poreikis.
  • Bus svarbu ištirti bendrą skaitmeninimo ir perėjimo prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos poveikį po COVID-19 pandemijos ir tai, kaip jie vienas kitą papildo arba kaip vieno iš jų teikiama nauda gali atsverti neigiamą kito poveikį.
  • Technologijomis grindžiamas potencialas rengti, rinkti ir naudoti didelius kiekius duomenų gali padidinti Europos įmonių ir darbo vietų kokybės konkurencingumą. Tačiau bus itin svarbu užtikrinti, kad būtų išaiškinti, tinkamai reglamentuojami ir įgyvendinami duomenų nuosavybės ir duomenų apsaugos klausimai, siekiant išvengti netinkamo duomenų panaudojimo ir neetiško elgesio.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 Sausis 2024
Publication
Work programme
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2022-ųjų pradžia buvo kupina atsargaus optimizmo. Europa pamažu ėmė atsigauti po dvejus metus trukusios COVID-19 pandemijos, o "NextGenerationEU" ekonomikos gaivinimo planas numatė stiprios ir tvarios ateities kūrimo priemones. Tačiau metų...

4 Gegužė 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (64)

In this report, we provide projections of how the Fit for 55 policy package may affect the sectoral and occupational structure of employment in the EU by 2030, and the impacts across different regions and countries.

25 October 2023

Automation and digitisation technologies, including artificial intelligence, are rapidly evolving and becoming increasingly powerful and pervasive. The full range of their effects in the workplace is yet to be seen. It is, however, important not only to explore the ethical implications of digital te

12 September 2023

Šioje ataskaitoje nagrinėjama ES valstybių narių aplinkosauginės veiklos rezultatų dinamika ir kiek šių rezultatų skirtumai sumažėjo nuo XXI a. pirmojo dešimtmečio pradžios. Ataskaita parengta bendradarbiaujant EUROFOUND ir Europos aplinkos agentūrai; pastarosios techninė kompetencija konvergencijos

03 August 2023

Kad ES pereitų prie klimatui neutralios ekonomikos, būtina švari pramonės revoliucija. Šioje ataskaitoje, remiantis prognozavimo metodu, nagrinėjamas galimas tokių esminių pokyčių socialinis ir ekonominis poveikis įvairiems Europos regionams ir gyventojų grupėms. Siekiant geriau suprasti

19 June 2023

The rise of the platform economy during the last decade is one of the main disrupting forces for European labour markets. While standard employment remains the norm, platforms are expanding their reach and diversifying into novel business models. In doing so, they are also attracting an increasing n

16 May 2023

2022-ųjų pradžia buvo kupina atsargaus optimizmo. Europa pamažu ėmė atsigauti po dvejus metus trukusios COVID-19 pandemijos, o "NextGenerationEU" ekonomikos gaivinimo planas numatė stiprios ir tvarios ateities kūrimo priemones. Tačiau metų pradžioje Rusijai užpuolus Ukrainą, padėtis iš esmės

04 May 2023

Ataskaitoje nagrinėjami tikėtini ir įsivaizduojami scenarijai, kaip nuotolinis ir mišrus darbas ES galėtų keistis iki 2035 m., ir jų poveikis darbo rinkai. Kaip vadovai ir darbuotojai, darbdavių organizacijos ir profesinės sąjungos bei politikos formuotojai yra pasirengę šių darbo organizavimo formų

28 April 2023

This paper presents an analytical summary of current academic and policy literature on the impact of climate change and policies to manage the transition to a carbon-neutral economy on four key domains: employment, working conditions, social dialogue and living conditions. It maps the main empirical

12 April 2023

Mažmeninės bankininkystės sektorius labai tinka skaitmeninimo poveikiui darbui ir užimtumui tirti. Finansinės paslaugos vis dažniau teikiamos internetu, be tiesiogiai klientus aptarnaujančių įstaigų tarpininkavimo. Nuo pasaulinės finansų krizės daugelyje šio sektoriaus bankų vykdomas nuoseklus

26 September 2022

Digitisation and automation technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI), can affect working conditions in a variety of ways and their use in the workplace raises a host of new ethical concerns. Recently, the policy debate surrounding these concerns has become more prominent and has

30 May 2022

Online resources results (47)

EMCC dossier on the European biomedical healthcare sector

/Modern biotechnology is one of the key enabling technologies of the 21st century: it could potentially prevent, treat and cure a wide range of diseases. However, the development of biomedical products – especially drugs – is an expensive, long-term endeavour. Thus, the biomedical healthcare sector

EMCC dossier on the European commerce sector

/The European commerce sector faces an unprecedented number of challenges: greater competition, complex supply chains, changing demographics, increased migration, changing consumer and media trends and the difficulty of attracting skilled workers to the sector. In addition, the sector also faces

The defence industry sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. June 2006 features the complete Sector Futures article series on the defence industry sector. The first article sets out to define the

The childcare services sector – what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. April 2006 features the complete Sector Futures article series on the childcare services sector. The first article sets out to define the

The biomedical healthcare sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. January 2006 features the complete Sector Futures article series on the biomedical healthcare sector. It sets out by defining the sector

Performing arts - what future?

/Performing arts are classified within the broader sector of recreation, sports and culture. The first of three articles in the Sector Futures series on this sector delineates the performing arts industry sector and examines its market size, structure and nature of employment. It then discusses some

Chemicals - visions of the future

/This article builds on the discussion in the first article on the trends and drivers likely to shape the future of the sector and the challenges it faces in the era of globalisation. In particular, it looks at issues related to employment, innovation, EU regulation - notably the REACH proposal -

European chemicals industry - what future?

/The chemicals industry is one of the largest and internationally most successful European industries. The first of three articles in the Sector Futures series on this sector - excluding pharmaceuticals - delineates the chemicals industry sector, looking at its market size, structure and nature of

Biomedical healthcare industry - policy issues and major challenges

/The third and final article in the series about biomedical healthcare discusses policies that could enhance the international competitiveness of the European biomedical healthcare industry. In particular, it looks at issues related to bioethics, globalisation, economic growth and employment as well

Biomedical healthcare industry - visions of the future

/This second article in the Sector Futures series on the biomedical healthcare sector focuses on the main factors shaping the present and future of the industry. It assesses the major trends and drivers, and evaluates different scenarios for the biomedical healthcare industry. The article also


Blogs results (27)

Not only do we need appropriate policy measures to drive the shift to a carbon-neutral economy, we also need sound policy to ensure no one is left behind – we need to ensure a just transition.

2 Gegužė 2024

‘Building back better’ is not just an empty slogan – we need the construction sector to help us achieve our climate targets. Eurofound research reveals that construction is where the Fit for 55 climate policy package will generate the most net new employment.

4 Gruodis 2023
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The platform economy is one of those moving targets, which, despite receiving increasing media and policy attention, has proven difficult to regulate. Given the heterogeneity of employment relationships, business models, types of platform work and cross-border issues, this is not surprising. Yet, in

27 Rugsėjis 2022
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Rising energy prices are putting more people under increased financial pressure and at greater risk of energy poverty. In this data story, we take a closer look at the data from the fifth round of the Living, working and COVID-19 e-survey to explore the extent of the issue and the threat of energy

3 Rugpjūtis 2022
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Telework has become a permanent feature of working life in Europe. While we’ve seen the benefits of more flexible ways of working – particularly during the pandemic – the problems that arise from an increasingly connected life are also becoming clearer. Unfortunately, legislation alone may not be

13 Liepa 2022
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The answer is yes – potentially. Assessing the environmental benefits of telework is a complex task, because any move to work from home involves a series of changes in individuals’ daily lives and activities, as well as company-level decisions, that may positively or negatively influence the level

23 Birželis 2022
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Whether it is couch surfing, baby-sitting, pizza delivery or getting Ikea furniture assembled by somebody who can do it better, platforms can mediate all kinds of voluntary or professional services. Platform work is at the heart of the ‘sharing economy’. But while this may sound like a new form of

31 Kovas 2022
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The advent of AI has far more consequences for how work is organised, performed and valued than any previous technological revolution. In order to make the most of this digital transformation we need inclusive and nuanced policy debates on its employment effects and how to future-proof policies: we

8 Gruodis 2021
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COVID-19 has shown that some things can hit us out of the blue. The pandemic sent a shockwave through businesses all over the world and has brought massive changes to work organisation, internal communication and day-to-day operations for many companies. Doubtless, the depth of the pandemic’s impact

21 Birželis 2021
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On 9 May, the Conference on the Future of Europe will get underway. Floated well before the COVID-19 outbreak, its timing in the wake of the seismic shifts precipitated by the pandemic, and its implementation alongside the European Pillar of Social Rights Action Plan, means that the outcomes could

4 Gegužė 2021

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