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Predvidevanje in obvladovanje vpliva sprememb

Predvidevanje in obvladovanje vpliva sprememb je ena od šestih glavnih dejavnosti v delovnem programu Eurofounda za obdobje 2021–2024. Eurofound bo predložil dokazila o strukturnih gibanjih, ki vplivajo na gospodarstvo EU in trge dela. Ta gibanja so zlasti posledica digitalizacije in prehoda na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo , deloma pa nanje vpliva tudi kriza zaradi pandemije bolezni covid-19. Namen raziskave je zagotoviti pomoč oblikovalcem politik pri predvidevanju sprememb in pripravi evropskih trgov dela ter delovnih mest nanje.

Od leta 2021 dalje bo Eurofound zagotavljal vpoglede v vpliv teh megatrendov na življenjske in delovne razmere v EU. Na področju digitalizacije bo raziskava usmerjena v vpliv na pogoje zaposlovanja in dela ter tudi na delovni trg. Med področji, ki bodo zajeta v raziskavi, bodo tudi socialni dialog in njegova vloga pri oblikovanju strukturnih sprememb, regulativni okviri, socialno varstvo ter umetna inteligenca. Na podlagi prejšnjih raziskav o delu prek platform bo obdobje 2021–2024 priložnost, da se osredotočimo na opredeljevanje in ocenjevanje učinkovitosti političnih pobud glede spopadanja z izzivi, ugotovljenimi pri delu prek platform.

Eurofound si bo s preiskovanjem socialno-ekonomskih učinkov prizadeval tudi podpreti prehod EU na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo, vključno s krožnim gospodarstvom in izvajanjem instrumenta za okrevanje EU, imenovanega „Next Generation EU“. Omenjeni učinki vključujejo tudi spremembe na področju zaposlovanja ter preoblikovanje delovnih mest in pogojev, pa tudi porazdelitev učinkov politik o podnebnih spremembah. Nekaj tega dela bo temeljilo na rezultatih pilotnega projekta o prihodnosti proizvodnje (FOME) , ki ga je izvedel Eurofound.

Zaradi nadaljevanja tega dela v obdobju 2021–2024 bo Eurofound sodeloval z različnimi mednarodnimi organizacijami in agencijami EU, na primer z Evropsko agencijo za okolje (EEA) na področju družbenih učinkov politik o podnebnih spremembah. Poleg tega bomo še okrepili trenutno sodelovanje z drugimi raziskovalnimi akterji na področjih digitalizacije, torej s Skupnim raziskovalnim središčem (JRC), Agencijo EU za temeljne pravice (FRA) ter Evropsko agencijo za varnost in zdravje pri delu (EU-OSHA). Predvidena je tudi nadaljnja krepitev partnerstva z Mednarodno organizacijo dela (MOD) glede sprememb na področju dela.

„Na gospodarstvo EU in trge dela vplivajo megatrendi, zlasti digitalizacija in prehod na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo. Pomembno je raziskati, kako točno ti prehodi delujejo, kaj se spreminja in kako bo to vplivalo na podjetja ter tudi na delovno silo in celotno družbo.“

Irene Mandl, vodja oddelka za zaposlovanje

Topic

Recent updates

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Regulatory responses to algorithmic management in the EU

Since 2013, Eurofound's ERM database on restructuring-related legislation has been documenting regulatory developments in the Member States of the European Union and Norway. The most recent update to the database...

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Not only do we need appropriate policy measures to drive the shift to a carbon-neutral economy, we also need sound policy to ensure no one is left behind – we...

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Ključna sporočila politike

Infografika

Glavne ugotovitve Eurofoundove raziskave uporabljajo oblikovalci politik pri obravnavanju nekaterih ključnih vprašanj na tem področju.

  • Najpomembnejša je podpora delodajalcem in delavcem med dvojnim prehodom na digitalne rešitve in ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo. Poleg teh strukturnih gibanj pa ogromen izziv za evropsko gospodarstvo in trg dela predstavlja trenutna pandemija bolezni covid-19.
  • Na evropskih trgih dela se povečuje število novih oblik zaposlitev, denimo delo prek platform in mobilno delo, podprto z informacijsko in komunikacijsko tehnologijo (IKT). Zaradi uporabe IKT so zanje značilne nove vrste delovnih razmerij med delodajalcem in zaposlenim, spreminjanje organizacije dela ter novi delovni vzorci. To bo prineslo priložnosti in tveganja za trge dela EU, ki se soočajo s prehodom na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo in digitalno preobrazbo med pandemijo bolezni covid-19.
  • Digitalne tehnologije spreminjajo način dela in delovna mesta ter povzročajo spremembe na trgu dela, denimo prestrukturiranje in izgube delovnih mest, začeli pa so se pojavljati tudi novi profili delovnih mest. Zaradi digitalizacije proizvodnje in zagotavljanja storitev se prilagajajo profili nalog za delovna mesta. Rezultat tega je povpraševanje po različnih spretnostih in znanjih.
  • Pomembno bo preučiti skupne učinke digitalizacije in prehoda na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo med pandemijo bolezni covid-19 ter njuno medsebojno podpiranje, raziskati pa bo treba tudi, kako lahko prednosti enega prehoda nadomestijo negativne učinke drugega.
  • S tehnologijo podprt potencial za pripravo, zbiranje in uporabo velike količine podatkov lahko izboljša konkurenčnost evropskega poslovanja in kakovost delovnih mest. Pri tem pa bo ključno zagotavljanje pojasnil glede težav, kot sta lastništvo in varstvo podatkov, če želimo preprečiti izkoriščanje in neetično ravnanje.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 Januar 2024
Publication
Work programme
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Leto 2022 se je začelo s previdnim optimizmom. Evropa se je izvila iz objema dve leti trajajoče pandemije covida-19, pri čemer je projekt NextGenerationEU ponudil načrt za okrevanje, ki gradi...

4 Maj 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (64)

In this report, we provide projections of how the Fit for 55 policy package may affect the sectoral and occupational structure of employment in the EU by 2030, and the impacts across different regions and countries.

25 October 2023

Automation and digitisation technologies, including artificial intelligence, are rapidly evolving and becoming increasingly powerful and pervasive. The full range of their effects in the workplace is yet to be seen. It is, however, important not only to explore the ethical implications of digital te

12 September 2023

V tem poročilu je obravnavana dinamika okoljske uspešnosti držav članic EU in obseg, v katerem so se razlike v njihovi uspešnosti od začetka leta 2000 zmanjšale. Poročilo je plod sodelovanja med Eurofoundom in Evropsko agencijo za okolje, pri čemer so se Eurofoundovo tehnično strokovno znanje in

03 August 2023

Prehod EU na podnebno nevtralno gospodarstvo ne zahteva nič manj od čiste industrijske revolucije. To poročilo proučuje morebitne družbeno-gospodarske posledice tovrstnih korenitih sprememb za različne evropske regije in skupine prebivalstva na podlagi pristopa predvidevanja. Za boljše razumevanje

19 June 2023

The rise of the platform economy during the last decade is one of the main disrupting forces for European labour markets. While standard employment remains the norm, platforms are expanding their reach and diversifying into novel business models. In doing so, they are also attracting an increasing n

16 May 2023

Leto 2022 se je začelo s previdnim optimizmom. Evropa se je izvila iz objema dve leti trajajoče pandemije covida-19, pri čemer je projekt NextGenerationEU ponudil načrt za okrevanje, ki gradi na močni in trajnostni prihodnosti. Napad Rusije na Ukrajino v začetku leta je dramatično spremenil razmere

04 May 2023

Poročilo obravnava verjetne in predstavljive scenarije, ki proučujejo razvoj dela na daljavo in hibridnega dela v EU do leta 2035, ter njihove posledice za svet dela. Kako so vodstveni delavci in zaposleni, organizacije delodajalcev in sindikati ter oblikovalci politik pripravljeni na večjo

28 April 2023

This paper presents an analytical summary of current academic and policy literature on the impact of climate change and policies to manage the transition to a carbon-neutral economy on four key domains: employment, working conditions, social dialogue and living conditions. It maps the main empirical

12 April 2023

Bančni sektor za prebivalstvo je idealno okolje za proučevanje učinkov digitalizacije na delo in zaposlovanje. Finančne storitve se vse pogosteje zagotavljajo prek spleta brez posrednikov, tj. institucij, ki so v neposrednem stiku s strankami. Številne banke v tem sektorju so od svetovne finančne

26 September 2022

Digitisation and automation technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI), can affect working conditions in a variety of ways and their use in the workplace raises a host of new ethical concerns. Recently, the policy debate surrounding these concerns has become more prominent and has

30 May 2022

Online resources results (48)

EMCC dossier on the European energy sector

/Energy is vital for the continued functioning of industrial economies; as such, it is a sector that will always play a vital role in Europe’s economy. Moreover, the increasing demand for renewable energy sources – in light of rising prices of fossil fuels and growing calls for international action

EMCC dossier on the European biomedical healthcare sector

/Modern biotechnology is one of the key enabling technologies of the 21st century: it could potentially prevent, treat and cure a wide range of diseases. However, the development of biomedical products – especially drugs – is an expensive, long-term endeavour. Thus, the biomedical healthcare sector

EMCC dossier on the European commerce sector

/The European commerce sector faces an unprecedented number of challenges: greater competition, complex supply chains, changing demographics, increased migration, changing consumer and media trends and the difficulty of attracting skilled workers to the sector. In addition, the sector also faces

The defence industry sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. June 2006 features the complete Sector Futures article series on the defence industry sector. The first article sets out to define the

The childcare services sector – what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. April 2006 features the complete Sector Futures article series on the childcare services sector. The first article sets out to define the

The biomedical healthcare sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. January 2006 features the complete Sector Futures article series on the biomedical healthcare sector. It sets out by defining the sector

Performing arts - what future?

/Performing arts are classified within the broader sector of recreation, sports and culture. The first of three articles in the Sector Futures series on this sector delineates the performing arts industry sector and examines its market size, structure and nature of employment. It then discusses some

Chemicals - visions of the future

/This article builds on the discussion in the first article on the trends and drivers likely to shape the future of the sector and the challenges it faces in the era of globalisation. In particular, it looks at issues related to employment, innovation, EU regulation - notably the REACH proposal -

European chemicals industry - what future?

/The chemicals industry is one of the largest and internationally most successful European industries. The first of three articles in the Sector Futures series on this sector - excluding pharmaceuticals - delineates the chemicals industry sector, looking at its market size, structure and nature of

Biomedical healthcare industry - policy issues and major challenges

/The third and final article in the series about biomedical healthcare discusses policies that could enhance the international competitiveness of the European biomedical healthcare industry. In particular, it looks at issues related to bioethics, globalisation, economic growth and employment as well


Blogs results (27)

Not only do we need appropriate policy measures to drive the shift to a carbon-neutral economy, we also need sound policy to ensure no one is left behind – we need to ensure a just transition.

2 Maj 2024

‘Building back better’ is not just an empty slogan – we need the construction sector to help us achieve our climate targets. Eurofound research reveals that construction is where the Fit for 55 climate policy package will generate the most net new employment.

4 December 2023
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The platform economy is one of those moving targets, which, despite receiving increasing media and policy attention, has proven difficult to regulate. Given the heterogeneity of employment relationships, business models, types of platform work and cross-border issues, this is not surprising. Yet, in

27 September 2022
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Rising energy prices are putting more people under increased financial pressure and at greater risk of energy poverty. In this data story, we take a closer look at the data from the fifth round of the Living, working and COVID-19 e-survey to explore the extent of the issue and the threat of energy

3 Avgust 2022
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Telework has become a permanent feature of working life in Europe. While we’ve seen the benefits of more flexible ways of working – particularly during the pandemic – the problems that arise from an increasingly connected life are also becoming clearer. Unfortunately, legislation alone may not be

13 Julij 2022
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The answer is yes – potentially. Assessing the environmental benefits of telework is a complex task, because any move to work from home involves a series of changes in individuals’ daily lives and activities, as well as company-level decisions, that may positively or negatively influence the level

23 Junij 2022
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Whether it is couch surfing, baby-sitting, pizza delivery or getting Ikea furniture assembled by somebody who can do it better, platforms can mediate all kinds of voluntary or professional services. Platform work is at the heart of the ‘sharing economy’. But while this may sound like a new form of

31 Marec 2022
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The advent of AI has far more consequences for how work is organised, performed and valued than any previous technological revolution. In order to make the most of this digital transformation we need inclusive and nuanced policy debates on its employment effects and how to future-proof policies: we

8 December 2021
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COVID-19 has shown that some things can hit us out of the blue. The pandemic sent a shockwave through businesses all over the world and has brought massive changes to work organisation, internal communication and day-to-day operations for many companies. Doubtless, the depth of the pandemic’s impact

21 Junij 2021
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On 9 May, the Conference on the Future of Europe will get underway. Floated well before the COVID-19 outbreak, its timing in the wake of the seismic shifts precipitated by the pandemic, and its implementation alongside the European Pillar of Social Rights Action Plan, means that the outcomes could

4 Maj 2021

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