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Att föregripa och hantera effekterna av förändring

Att föregripa och hantera effekterna av förändring är en av de sex främsta aktiviteterna i Eurofounds arbetsprogram för perioden 2021–2024. Eurofound kommer att lägga fram belägg för strukturella förändringar som påverkar EU:s ekonomi och arbetsmarknader och som främst drivs av digitalisering och övergången till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi , men också av covid-19 -krisen. Forskningen är avsedd att hjälpa beslutsfattarna att föregripa effekterna och förbereda de europeiska arbetsmarknaderna och arbetsplatserna för dessa förändringar.

Från och med 2021 kommer Eurofound att ge en inblick i de effekter som dessa megatrender har på levnads- och arbetsvillkoren i EU. På området digitalisering kommer forskningen att fokusera på effekten på sysselsättningen och arbetsvillkoren, liksom på arbetsmarknaden. Områden som ska tas upp är t.ex. dialogen mellan arbetsmarknadens parter (den sociala dialogen) och dess roll i utformningen av strukturella förändringar, regelverk, socialt skydd och artificiell intelligens (AI). Med utgångspunkt i tidigare forskning om plattformsarbete kommer perioden 2021–2024 att ge oss en möjlighet att fokusera på att kartlägga och lägga fram en bedömning av de politiska initiativens effektivitet vad gäller hanteringen av de identifierade utmaningarna vid plattformsarbete.

Eurofound kommer även att sikta på att stödja EU:s övergång till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi, däribland kretsloppsekonomin och genomförandet av EU:s återhämtningsinstrument NextGenerationEU, genom att undersöka de socioekonomiska effekterna. I detta ingår sysselsättningsövergångar och omvandling av arbetstillfällen och arbetsvillkor, liksom de fördelningseffekterna av politiska strategier mot klimatförändring. En del av detta arbete kommer att bygga på resultaten av ett pilotprojekt om framtiden för tillverkningsindustrin (FOME) som Eurofound genomför.

För att kunna fortsätta med detta arbete under 2021–2024 kommer Eurofound att samarbeta med olika internationella organisationer och EU-byråer, t.ex. med Europeiska miljöbyrån (EEA) på området för sociala följder av klimatpolitik. Vidare kommer det befintliga samarbetet med andra forskningsinstitut att konsolideras inom områdena digitalisering – det gemensamma forskningscentrumet (JRC), Byrån för grundläggande rättigheter (FRA) och Europeiska arbetsmiljöbyrån (EU-Osha). Ytterligare partnerskap med Internationella arbetsorganisationen (ILO) förutses även vad gäller området arbetsliv i förändring.

”EU:s ekonomi och arbetsmarknader kännetecknas av effekten av megatrender, särskilt digitaliseringen och övergången till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi. Det är viktigt att utforska exakt hur dessa övergångar fungerar, vad som förändras och hur detta kommer att påverka inte bara företagen, utan även arbetsstyrkan och samhället.”

Irene Mandl, chef för anställningsenheten

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Centrala politiska budskap

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De främsta fynden från Eurofounds forskning används som underlag för beslutsfattarnas hantering av vissa centrala frågor på detta område.

  • Det är avgörande att stödja arbetsgivare och arbetstagare i den dubbla övergången till den digitala tidsåldern och till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi. Vid sidan av dessa strukturella förändringar innebär den aktuella covid-19-pandemin en stor utmaning för den europeiska ekonomin och arbetsmarknaden.
  • Nya anställningsformer, såsom plattformsarbete och IKT-baserat mobilt arbete, vinner allt mer terräng på EU:s arbetsmarknader. Dessa drivs av användningen av IKT och kännetecknas av nya typer av förhållanden mellan arbetsmarknadens parter, mellan arbetsgivare och arbetstagare, med föränderliga arbetsorganisationer och arbetsmönster. De kommer att innebära både möjligheter och risker för EU:s arbetsmarknader, som står inför övergången till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi och en digital omvandling mot bakgrund av covid-19-pandemin.
  • Digitala tekniker omvandlar arbetstillfällen och arbetsplatser, utlöser förändringar på arbetsmarknaden såsom omstrukturering och förlust av arbetstillfällen, och nya arbetsprofiler börjar också dyka upp. Uppgiftsprofilerna i arbetstillfällena anpassas efter digitaliseringen av produktionen och tillhandahållandet av tjänster. Resultatet är att andra kompetenser efterfrågas.
  • Det kommer att bli viktigt att undersöka de sammantagna effekterna av digitaliseringen och övergången till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi i covid-19-pandemins efterdyningar och hur de förstärker varandra, eller hur nyttan av den ena kan uppväga de negativa effekterna av den andra.
  • Den teknikdrivna potentialen att producera, samla in och använda en stor mängd data kan öka konkurrenskraften för europeiska företag och kvaliteten i arbetet. Att säkerställa att frågor som äganderätt till data och dataskydd tydliggörs, och blir väl reglerade och genomförda, kommer dock att vara avgörande för att undvika ett utnyttjande och oetiskt agerande.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

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År 2022 inleddes med försiktig optimism. Europa höll på att återhämta sig från två år med covid-19-pandemin, och genom NextGenerationEU fastställdes en plan för återhämtning för en stark och hållbar...

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Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

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In this report, we provide projections of how the Fit for 55 policy package may affect the sectoral and occupational structure of employment in the EU by 2030, and the impacts across different regions and countries.

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Automation and digitisation technologies, including artificial intelligence, are rapidly evolving and becoming increasingly powerful and pervasive. The full range of their effects in the workplace is yet to be seen. It is, however, important not only to explore the ethical implications of digital te

12 September 2023

I denna rapport undersöks hur medlemsstaterna förhåller sig till varandra när det gäller miljöprestanda och i vilken utsträckning skillnaderna i miljöframstegen har minskat sedan början av 2000-talet. Rapporten är frukten av ett samarbete mellan två EU-byråer: Eurofound, som bidragit med sin

03 August 2023

EU:s omställning till en klimatneutral ekonomi kräver inget mindre än en ren industriell revolution. I denna rapport undersöks de socioekonomiska konsekvenser som sådana grundläggande förändringar kan tänkas få för olika europeiska regioner och befolkningsgrupper, i enlighet med en framsynsstrategi

19 June 2023

The rise of the platform economy during the last decade is one of the main disrupting forces for European labour markets. While standard employment remains the norm, platforms are expanding their reach and diversifying into novel business models. In doing so, they are also attracting an increasing n

16 May 2023

År 2022 inleddes med försiktig optimism. Europa höll på att återhämta sig från två år med covid-19-pandemin, och genom NextGenerationEU fastställdes en plan för återhämtning för en stark och hållbar framtid. Den ryska attacken mot Ukraina i början av året förändrade dock situationen drastiskt och

04 May 2023

I rapporten utforskas rimliga och tänkbara scenarier för hur distansarbete och hybridarbete i EU kan ha utvecklats fram till 2035, och vilka konsekvenser detta kan ha fått för arbetslivet. Hur förberedda är chefer och anställda, arbetsgivarorganisationer och fackföreningar samt beslutsfattare på att

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This paper presents an analytical summary of current academic and policy literature on the impact of climate change and policies to manage the transition to a carbon-neutral economy on four key domains: employment, working conditions, social dialogue and living conditions. It maps the main empirical

12 April 2023

Banksektorn till privatkunder är en utmärkt bransch att titta på om man vill undersöka digitaliseringens effekter på arbete och sysselsättning. Finansiella tjänster erbjuds i allt högre grad direkt på nätet, utan att föregås av fysiska möten med kunderna. Många banker inom sektorn har genomgått en

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Czech Republic: Latest working life developments – Q2 2017

Continued growth in the Czech economy, staff shortages in the social services sector, the tightening of agency employment rules and legislative measures to regulate Uber are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life in the

Denmark: Latest working life developments – Q2 2017

Recommendations to position Denmark as a digital frontrunner in Europe, legislative proposals for health and safety and the terms of reference of the working environment committee are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in working life

Italy: New rules to protect self-employed workers and regulate ICT-based mobile work

Italy’s parliament has approved new legislation giving protection to self-employed workers and regulating ICT-based mobile work. Employer organisations have generally welcomed it, but unions criticise the legislation for its weak wording, the limited leeway left to collective bargaining, and for the

Germany: Working time back on the social partners' agenda

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Spain: Latest working life developments – Q1 2017

The inability of the national social partners to agree salary recommendations; digital disconnection after working hours; and the effects of the increase in the minimum wage on employment are the main topics of interest in this article. This country update reports on the latest developments in

France: Latest working life developments – Q1 2017

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Czech Republic: Latest working life developments – Q1 2017

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Germany: Social partner and research perspectives on digitalisation

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In the abstract, platform work is the matching of supply and demand for paid work through an online platform. In practice, most people are likely to have encountered it through big online platforms such as Uber, Deliveroo or Amazon Mechanical Turk. This is a new form employment that began to emerge

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In the digital age, there are fewer routine jobs because of a higher risk of automation. But a great paradox of this age is this: workers in most types of jobs, including high-skilled ones, are reporting higher levels of routine at work. This emerges from a new study of the task content of

28 september 2016
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Since the advent of the Industrial Revolution, technological change has brought both opportunities and risks. However, the widespread entry of computing technology into the workplace in the 1980s, and in particular the arrival of the World Wide Web in the 1990s, has profoundly affected society and

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