Beschäftigung und Arbeitsmärkte

Die wichtigsten politischen Erkenntnisse

Die wichtigsten Ergebnisse der Forschungsarbeiten von Eurofound dienen politischen Entscheidungsträgern als Informationsquelle, um sich mit einigen zentralen Themen in diesem Bereich näher auseinanderzusetzen.

• Bevor sich die COVID-19-Krise auf die Wirtschaft ausgewirkt hat, hat die Erholung auf dem europäischen Arbeitsmarkt die Erwerbstätigenquote in der EU auf fast 75 % – das Ziel von EU2020 – steigen lassen. Die Erkenntnisse aus früheren Krisen haben, auch wenn sie aufgrund ihres besonderen Charakters einzigartig sind, gezeigt, dass die Aufrechterhaltung der Arbeitsmarktanbindung der Arbeitnehmer und, soweit möglich, die Verbesserung der Qualifikationen wichtige Mittel sind, um eine rasche Erholung zu ermöglichen.
• Das Beschäftigungswachstum ist bei mittelmäßig vergüteten Tätigkeiten – insbesondere bei Rezessionen – durchgängig am schwächsten und bei gut bezahlten Arbeitsplätzen durchweg am höchsten.
• Durch die stabile Entwicklung der Zahl atypischer Arbeitsverhältnisse wird ein Anstieg prekärer Beschäftigungsformen für bestimmte Gruppen verschleiert, wobei immer mehr Arbeitnehmer im Rahmen von „anderen“ oder „gar keinen“ Verträgen arbeiten. Die COVID-19-Pandemie bringt die schwierige Lage dieser Arbeitnehmer, die am härtesten von der Krise getroffen sind und auch langfristig am schlimmsten betroffen sein könnten, immer deutlicher ans Licht.
• Der Anstieg verschiedener atypischer Beschäftigungsformen könnte zu einer noch tieferen Spaltung der EU-Arbeitsmärkte zwischen gut geschützten Arbeitnehmern und solchen führen, die nur begrenzt Zugang zu Sozialschutz und Arbeitnehmerrechten haben, und dadurch zu einer stärkeren Arbeitsmarktsegmentierung beitragen. Dies gilt insbesondere für die steigenden Zahlen von Arbeitnehmern, die auf der Grundlage einer „Mischung aus verschiedenen atypischen Beschäftigungsverhältnissen“ beschäftigt sind (d. h. ein Mix aus atypischen Beschäftigungsstatus: zum Beispiel Zeit- und Teilzeitarbeit, selbständige Tätigkeit und Teilzeit).
• Aufgrund des derzeitigen Anstiegs unsicherer Beschäftigungsverhältnisse werden politische Lösungen zur Unterstützung von Arbeitnehmern mit begrenztem Zugang zu Sozialschutz und Arbeitnehmervertretung erforderlich sein. Dies ist im Zusammenhang mit den Auswirkungen des Ausbruchs von COVID-19, die noch gar nicht absehbar sind, umso wichtiger, denn dieser bringt für viele prekär Beschäftigte und Selbständige besonders existenzgefährdende Risiken mit sich.

During 2021–2024, Eurofound’s research will provide important insights into the challenges and prospects in the area of employment and labour markets in the EU. Eurofound has an important role to play in monitoring trends in the labour market, as well as monitoring the impact of these trends for different groups of workers.

Research will focus overall on the changing structure of the labour market using Eurofound’s well established monitoring instruments, the European Jobs Monitor (EJM) and the European Restructuring Monitor (ERM), alongside Eurostat data. With high levels of unemployment expected in some countries, regions, sectors and occupations, affecting also the most precarious and vulnerable workers, these instruments will help identify growing and declining sectors, occupations and qualifications. The ERM will also continue to examine large-scale restructuring events, legislative and support instruments, as well as measures developed by social partners and public authorities to assist workers transitioning between jobs or sectors.

Eurofound will also focus on labour shortages and under-utilised human resources and talent in certain sectors and occupations – accentuated during COVID-19 – by exploring policy interventions and company practices. Specific topics will include skills mismatches, working time, geographical or occupational mobility, and the integration of migrants, as well as covering groups underrepresented in the labour market such as young people, women and people with disabilities. Eurofound will also look at sectors traditionally affected by labour shortages, the issue becoming more urgent due to the pandemic. This activity will feed into the preparatory work for the next edition of the European Company Survey (ECS).

Eurofound’s collaboration with the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC) will also continue in this area. Research on restructuring will contribute to the European Globalisation Adjustment Fund (EGF) and the European Social Fund+ (ESF+) activities. Links with sister agency Cedefop and the European Labour Authority will be explored as regards skills and labour mobility in the context of employment policies aimed at tackling labour shortages.

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to provide knowledge to support structural change, particularly in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. It aims to help address the challenges facing the EU and national levels in the areas of employment and labour market structures.

Specifically, Eurofound collects data and analyses trends in employment and labour market developments, identifying and examining gaps and groups at risk, in order to provide the European Commission and other EU institutions, Member State bodies and social partners with the support needed to devise more effective employment policies.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines 2021–2024, directly feeding into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, Eurofound’s research will support policy initiatives under the European Pillar of Social Rights in the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis and activities linked to, among other initiatives, the European Gender Equality Strategy 2020–2025, the reinforced Youth Guarantee, the Youth Employment Support package, the skills agenda, as well as innovation and job creation and the European Commission’s proposal for adequate minimum wages in the EU.

• European Commission: Priorities 2019–2024: An economy that works for people
• European Commission: Priorities 2019–2024: A Europe fit for the digital age
• European Commission: Priorities 2019–2024: A European Green Deal

In 2024, Eurofound continues to monitor and analyse how the EU’s labour market structure is changing, looking at patterns related to employment status, workers’ demographic characteristics, and net job creation and job loss by sector and occupation, particularly in light of the challenges triggered by COVID-19 and Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Analysis draws on data from the European Jobs Monitor (EJM), European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) and Eurostat and the work involves ongoing updates to the EJM and ERM databases. 

In 2024, Eurofound publishes the findings of research investigating employment shifts across EU regions, from the pandemic to the recovery. In particular, the research focuses on the gap between urban/capital and rural areas and on patterns of sectoral specialisation which made some regions more exposed or resilient than others. The research investigates the evolution of telework across European regions, including the observed differences in the take up of regional telework. This work builds on the EJM regional analyses and the previous Eurofound/Joint Research Centre analysis on teleworkable jobs.

Eurofound finalises its analysis of the impact of short-time work schemes on retaining employment and securing incomes during the COVID-19 pandemic. One output from this project is a comparative database of the support measures used in the Member States. The research aims to derive policy lessons regarding effective instruments for future crises. 

Complementing earlier research on mapping the incidence of labour shortages and assessing policies to address shortages, Eurofound concludes its analysis of company/organisational practices. Some case studies look specifically at how displaced people from Ukraine have been integrated into the labour market. 

New research in 2024 investigates shifts in the employment structure in the first quarter of the 21st century, examining the pace of change (technological, globalisation/trade-related, demographic) and its impacts on labour markets.

Research begins on measuring job differences in task requirements and their implications for mobility and employment reallocation across the economy. It aims to determine the magnitude and the nature of changes in job tasks following a job move.

Work also commences on exploring wage determinants in the EU, with a specific focus on gender gaps. This research aims to identify correlations between trends in educational attainment and wages by gender, as well as the determinants of any mismatch between wages and education levels by gender.

• Resource: European Jobs Monitor 
• Resource: Restructuring events database
• Database: EU PolicyWatch